HoopTemp
Who's really shooting hot in the NBA, who's ice cold, and who's due to regress. Every shot measured against its difficulty.
Off-season: final numbers of the 2025-26 regular season, through Apr 12, 2026. Live again when the new season tips off.
Heat check · Last 10 games
Updated Apr 12, 2026The league's hottest and coldest shooters at the end of the 2025-26 season, measured against the shots they took.
League thermometer
353 of 436 players shoot right at expectation. The story is at the edges.
Biggest swings
FG% over expected in the last 10 games vs. the player's season baseline (min. 50 shots).
How to read HoopTemp
- 01
Every shot gets a difficulty
A shot-quality model gives each attempt its make probability from location, shot type and context, adjusted to the shooter's own track record from that spot.
- 02
FGOx: makes vs. expectation
Field Goals Over Expected = shots made minus the shots the player would normally make on the same looks.
- 03
HoopTemp turns it into heat
70° means right on expectation. The further from 70°, the more unusual the streak, and the more likely it is to swing back toward the mean.